走进我的交易室 中英对照版-第60章
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交易机会很多。如果你知道如何用日线图交易,那么你会在日内图上看到很多类似的交易机会。
You can cut losses very quickly。
你可以快速止损。
There is no overnight risk if a major piece of news hits your market after the close。
即时收盘后有重大消息袭击市场,你也没有过夜风险。
The disadvantages of day…trading include:
日内交易的劣势包括:
You miss longer…term swings and trends。
你错过了长期的大波动,大趋势。
Profits are smaller because intraday swings are shorter。
因为日内波动小,利润也比较小。
Expenses are higher because of more frequent missions and slippage。 Day…trading is a very expensive game; which is why vendors love it。
由于要多次交佣金,有很多滑点亏损,总体费用就偏高。日内交易的费用非常昂贵,这也是经纪商希望你做日内交易的原因。
Day…trading makes several hard demands on its practitioners:
日内交易有几个重大要求:
You must act instantly … if you stop to think; you’re dead。 With daily charts you have the luxury of time; but intraday charts demand immediate action。
你必须动作快——如果你停下来思考,你死定了。看日线图,你有很多时间思考,但是看日内图,你要行动快。
Day…trading chews up a great deal of time。 You have to ask yourself whether the hourly pay is better in longer…term trading。
日内交易消耗时间。你要问问自己,你的付出回报是否比做长线多。
Day…trading plays into people’s gambling tendencies。 If there are any gaps in your discipline; day…trading will find them fast。
日内交易能看透人的赌博心理。如果你的纪律有任何缺陷,日内交易就能发现。
There are three main groups of day…traders: floor traders; institutional traders; and private traders。 They have different agendas and use different tools。 Imagine three persons ing to the beach … one goes for a swim; another stretches in the sun; and the third goes jogging and runs head on into a tree。 Floor traders and institutional traders tend to do better than private traders。 Let us see what we can learn from them。
有3种日内交易这:场内交易者,机构交易者,个人交易者。他们的思路和工具都不同。想象有3个人来到海边——一个去游泳,一个晒太阳,第三个跑步,结果撞到了树。场内交易者和机构交易者的表现一般比个人交易者好。我们看看从他们身上能学到什么。
Lessons from Floor Traders
场内交易者的教训
Floor traders stand in the pit; trading with each other; but more often against the public。 They scalp; spread; and take directional trades。
场内交易者在交易所现场,相互之间交易,但大多数是和大众相反的。他们做短线,赚价差,占方向上的优势。
Scalping is based on the fact that there are two prices for any stock or future。 One is a bid … what the pros are offering to pay。 The other is an ask … what the pros are willing to sell for。 You may bid below the market; but as a friend said; “You can’t excite the market with a flaccid bid。” When in a hurry; you buy at the ask and pay what sellers demand。 If you want to sell; you may place a limit order above the market or “hit the bid” and accept what buyers are willing to pay。
剥头皮的原因是股票和期货都有2个价格。一个是买入价——专业人士报价买入。另一个是卖出价——专业人士报价卖出。你可以在市价之下下单,但是一个朋友说:“你不能用软弱的报价来刺激市场。”当你急的时候,你在卖出价买入,只有接受卖家的要求。如果你想卖,你可以在市价之上下限价单,或者是用买入价卖出,只好接受买家的报价。
For example; the last trade in gold was at 308。30; but now it is quoted as 308。20 bid; 308。40 ask。 This means there are willing buyers at 308。20; while sellers are asking for 308。40。 When a market order to buy es into the pit; a floor trader goes short by selling at 308。40。 The outsider has paid the ask price; and the floor trader is now short and needs to buy。 When a market order to sell es to the floor; he buys at 308。20; and pockets 20 cents profit。 Floor traders pay no missions; only clearing costs; and can afford to trade even for single ticks。 They stand on their feet all day; yelling to all passersby that they want to buy a tick below the market and sell a tick above。 It is the highest paid form of manual labor。
比如,黄金最新的交易价是308。30,但现在报价分别是,买入价308。20,卖出价308。40。这表明买家只愿意出308。20,卖家只接受308。40。当一个买单进入场内时,场内交易者在308。40做空。场外交易者必须在卖出价买入,此时场内交易者已经做空了,需要买入。当一个卖单进入场内时,他在308。20买入,这样口袋里有了20分的利润。场内交易者不用付佣金,仅仅付清算成本,这个成本远不到一个基点。他们整天站着,对周围的人大喊大叫,因为他们只想比市价低一个基点买入,比市价高一个基点卖出。这种人工劳动的回报是最高的。
This is a simplified example。 The reality is less orderly; as floor traders try to widen the spread and make more than one or two ticks。 They pete with one another; shouting; jumping; and getting into each other’s faces。 It helps to be tall and muscular and have a big voice。 You get stabbed with pencils and splattered with saliva。 There is a story about a floor trader who died of a heart attack on the floor but remained upright; squeezed in by the crowd。
这是最简单的例子。现实则很乱,场内交易者要想方设法扩大价差,多赚1,2个基点。他们之间互相竞争,在对方面前又蹦又跳又叫。长的高,长的壮,嗓门大是有好处的。因为别人总是用铅笔戳你,还搞的你满身唾沫。有个故事说,一个场内交易者因为心脏病突发而死,但是他死时被大伙挤着,所以还能保持站立的姿势。
A floor trader can get stuck if he buys a tick below the market but the market falls by two ticks; and puts him underwater。 Half of all floor traders disappear in their first year。 One of the Chicago exchanges puts red circular badges on the chest of new traders; making them look like shooting targets。 Lest you start feeling sorry for floor traders; keep in mind that many of them make a very good living and some make a great deal of money from hitting you for a tick or more on every trade。 Before electronic trading became a serious threat; seats on some exchanges sold for a million dollars。
如果场内交易者以低于市价1个基点买入,但是市场跌了2个基点,那么他就被市场拉下水了。一半的场内交易者会在第一年消失。芝加哥的一个交易所给新交易者胸口贴上红圈标记,看起来很像靶子。你可不要同情场内交易者,记住,他们中间很多人日子过得很好,他们通过每笔交易赢1个或多个基点就赚了很多钱。在电子交易称为威胁之前,有些交易所的一个席位能卖几百万。
Floor traders also get involved in spreading … buying and selling related markets when their relationships get out of line。 Spread traders tend to be more cautious and better capitalized than scalpers。 Finally; some of the wealthiest floor traders get involved in directional trading。 They put on trades that last days or weeks; closer to the timeframe of public traders。
场内交易者也做套利——利用不用市场报价的差别做买卖。套利交易者比短线交易者认真,资金管理也强。最终,一些富有的场内交易者会做方向交易。他们持有几天或几周——这就和大众交易者差不多了。
What lessons can we learn from the floor? If you are a position trader; you should use limit orders whenever possible。 Buy and sell at specified prices; and don’t let the floor scalp you。 Put those fellows on a diet。 Another lesson is to stay away from scalping。 When a crowd of athletic young men starts fighting for ticks; jumping; salivating; and screaming; you have no business reaching into that crowd to grab a few ticks for yourself because they’ll take off your fingers。 If you day…trade away from the floor; forget about scalping。 Look for the longer…term day…trades; where the petition tapers off a bit。 Go to the middle ground between scalpers who chase ticks and position traders with their end…of…the…day charts。 Try to find one or two trades a day; longer than scalping but shorter than position trades。
我们从场内交易者那里学到了什么?如果你是仓位交易者,不管什么时候你都要下限价单。在确定的价格买卖,不要让场内交易者剥削你。时刻警惕场内交易者。另一个教训就是不要做短线。当一群专业的年轻人为了几个基点打斗,又蹦又跳,口水乱飞,又喊又叫时,你就不要进去抢那几个基点了,因为他们会咬掉你的手指头。如果你在场外做日内交易,不要剥头皮。寻找比较长的日内交易机会,这样竞争小一点。在追逐几个基点的剥头皮交易者和仓位交易者之间找到一个平衡点。每天找1,2个交易机会,比剥头皮长,但比仓位交易短。
Lessons from Institutional Day…Traders
机构日内交易者的教训
Institutional traders work for banks; brokerage houses; and similar firms。 A pany may have more than a hundred traders sitting behind rows of expensive equipment。 Maintaining each seat costs several thousand dollars a month; not counting salaries and