走进我的交易室 中英对照版-第59章
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it turns positive。 If you go short in a downtrend after the two…day EMA of Force Index turns positive; cover when it turns negative。
短线交易者会采用2日均线力量指数作为出场依据。如果你在上涨趋势中,在2日均线力量指数是负数时买入,在变为正数时卖出。如果在下跌趋势中,在2日均线力量指数是正数时做空,并在变为负数时回补。
Beginners often approach markets like a lottery … buy a ticket and sit in front of the TV to find out whether you have won。 You will know that you are being a professional when you start spending almost as much time thinking about exits as looking for entries。
新手做交易的方式就像买彩票——买完彩票后,就呆坐在电视前看他是否中彩。如果你花在研究进场的时间和花在研究出场的时间一样多,那么你就成为专业人士了。
SCREEN THREE
第三重滤网
The third screen helps us pinpoint entry points。 Live data can help savvy traders but hurt beginners who may slip into day…trading。
第三重滤网帮助我们制定精确的进场点,即时数据会帮助聪明的交易者,但伤害了新手,新手很容易去做日内交易。
Use an intraday breakout or pullback to enter trades without real…time data。 When the first two screens give you a buy signal (the weekly is up; but the daily is down); place a buy order at the high of the previous day or a tick higher。 A tick is the smallest price fluctuation permitted in any market。 We expect the major uptrend to reassert itself and catch a breakout in its direction。 Place a buy order; good for one day only。 If prices break out above the previous day’s high; you will be stopped in automatically。 You do not have to watch prices intraday; just give your order to a broker。
利用日内的突破或回调进场,不要使用即时数据。当前两重滤网发出买入信号时(周线上涨,但日线下跌),在前一天的最高点或比最高点高一个基点的地方下单买入。基点是市场允许的最小的变动单位。我们期待主趋势继续上涨并且在价格发生突破时进场。这种下单方法,只适用于当天的交易。如果价格突破前一天的最高点,你要自动设置止损。交易者不必死盯日内的价格波动,将订单交给经纪人处理就行了。
When the first two screens tell you to sell short (the weekly is down; but the daily is up); place a sell order at the previous day’s low or a tick lower。 We expect the downtrend to reassert itself; and try to catch the downside breakout。 If prices break below the previous day’s low; they will trigger your entry。
在前两重滤网提示做空时(周线下跌,但日线反弹,),在前一天的最低点或比最低点低一个基点处下单做空。我们期待再次下跌,并在突破时进场。如果价格突破了前一天的最低点,那么你就进场了。
Daily ranges can be very wide; and placing an order to buy at the top can be expensive。 Another option is to buy below the market。 If you are trying to buy a pullback to the EMA; calculate where that EMA is likely to be tomorrow and place your order at that level。 Alternatively; use the SafeZone indicator (see page xx) to find how far the market is likely to dip below its previous day’s low and place your order at that level。 Reverse these approaches for shorting in downtrends。
日内波动可能很大,因此在顶部下单做多很昂贵。另一种选择就是在市场之下买入。如果你打算在价格回调到均线时买入,计算出第二天均线可能要到达的位置,在附近下单。也可采用安全区域指标计算出市场可能跌破前一天最低点的距离,并在附近下单。下跌时则反之。
The advantage of buying upside breakouts is that you follow an impulse move。 The disadvantage is that you buy high and your stop is far away。 The advantage of bottom fishing is that you get your goods on sale and your stop is closer。 The disadvantage is the risk of getting caught in a downside reversal。 A “breakout entry” is more reliable; but profits are smaller; a “bottom…fishing entry” is riskier; but the profits are greater。 Make sure to test both methods in your markets。
上涨突破时买进的优势是跟随了冲动的波动。劣势是买进的位置高,止损太远。回调买进的优势是买的点位较低,并且止损很近。劣势是容易遭遇反转下跌。“突破进场”比较可靠,只是利润较少。“回调进场”风险较大,但利润很多。你要保证在市场测试2种方法。
Use real…time data; if available; for entering trades。 When the first two screens give you a buy signal (the weekly is up; but the daily is down); use live data to get long。 You could follow a breakout from the opening range; when prices rally above the high of the first 15 to 30 minutes of trading; or apply technical analysis to intraday charts and finesse your entry。 When trying to short; you may enter on a downside breakout from the opening range。 You could also monitor the market intraday and use technical analysis to enter into a short trade; using live charts。
尽量用即时数据进场。当前二重滤网给出买入信号时(周线上涨,但日线下跌),利用即时数据做多。你可以跟踪开盘后交易区间的突破,当开盘15分钟到30分钟后,价格发生向上突破时进场,或者采用技术分析,分析日内图以确定合适的进场点。如果你要做空,则在开盘后交易区间向下突破时进场。或者通过分析日内图寻找机会,并采用即时数据进场。
The techniques for finding buy and sell signals on real…time charts are the same as on daily charts; only their speed is much higher。 If you use weeklies and dailies to get in; use them also to get out。 Once a live chart gives an entry signal; avoid the temptation to exit using intraday data。 Do not forget that you entered that trade on the basis of weekly and daily charts; expecting to hold for several days。 Do not be distracted by the intraday chop if you are trading swings that last several days。
在即时图上寻找买卖点的方法与日线图相同,只是速度快了很多。如果你采用周线图或日线图进场,那么也必须用同样的图出场。一旦你即时数据让你进场,则应抵制日内图信号的诱惑而出场。不要忘了,你根据周线图和日线图交易,往往需要持有数日。交易者不应受日内价格波动的困扰。
DAY…TRADING
日内交易
Day…trading means entering and exiting trades on the same day。 Watching money flow from the screen into your account is extremely appealing。 Surely we are smart enough to use modern technology to outrun slow…moving folks who follow their stocks through the newspapers。
日内交易意味着当天进场,当天出场。看着钱从屏幕流入你的账户确实很吸引人。我们肯定够聪明,利用现代技术战胜行动缓慢的家伙,他们只会根据报纸选股票。
Every partial truth contains a dangerous lie。 Day…trading can bring profits to professionals; but it is also a mon last stop for losers who blow what little is left of their accounts。 Day…trading offers advantages and disadvantages; while placing extreme demands on its practitioners。
每个不完整的真实包含了危险的谎言。日内交易可以带来利润,但是对于账户所剩无几的输家来说,这是最后一站。日内交易有优势,有劣势,对专业人士的要求特别高。
Day…trading offers one of the markets’ greatest challenges; but it is amazing how little literature on it exists。 There are several “day…trading for dummies” types of books; a few get…rich…quick jobs; but not a single definitive volume on day…trading。 Bad day…traders write bad books and good day…traders are too action…oriented to sit down to write。
日内交易的挑战最高,但是很少能找到相关的书籍。有一些“日内交易傻瓜书”,一些快速致富书,但是没有完整的谈日内交易的书。水平差的日内交易者写出来的书也差,水平高的日内交易者太忙了,没有时间写书。
A good day…trader is a street…smart person with fast reflexes。 He is quick; confident; and flexible。 Successful day…traders are so focused on the immediate results that they do not make good writers。 I hope one of them will rise to the challenge of writing a book; but in the mean…time; here are a few notes; even though each of them deserves its own chapter in a thick book on day…trading。
优秀的日内交易者聪明,反应快。他快速,自信,灵活。成功的日内交易者太关注于日内交易,因此他们不是出色的作家。我希望其中一个能写本好书,但同时,即使他们知道如何写厚厚的日内交易书,还是有几点要注意。
The late 1990s saw an explosion of interest in day…trading。 Even housewives and students were pulled in by the bull market and the easy reach of the Internet。 Brokers advertise for more people to e in to day…trade; knowing full well most will bust out。
90年代末期人们热衷于日内交易。由于互联网的便利,连家庭主妇和学生都被上涨的市场吸引了。经纪商做广告,呼吁大家都来做日内交易,因为经纪商知道大部分人都要出局。
The advantages of day…trading include:
日内交易的优势包括:
Trading opportunities are more frequent。 If you can trade with daily charts; you’ll see similar trades more often on intraday charts。
交易机会很多。如果你知道如何用日线图交易,那么你会在日内图上看到很多类似的交易机会。
You can cut losses