the.world.is.flat-第76章
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So let us from this moment begin our work so that in the future men will look back
and say: It was then; after a long and weary way; that man turned the exploits of
his genius to the full enrichment of his life。
…〃Great Society〃 speech; Lyndon B。 Johnson; 1964
As a person who grew up during the Cold War; I'll always remember driving along down
the highway and listening to the radio; when suddenly the music would stop and a
grim…voiced announcer would come on the air and say; 〃This is a test of the emergency
broadcast system;〃 and then there would be a thirty…second high…pitched siren sound。
Fortunately; we never had to live through a moment in the Cold War where the announcer
came on and said; 〃This is not a test。〃 That; however; is exactly what I want to say
here: This is not a test。
The long…term opportunities and challenges that the flattening of the world puts
before the United States are profound。 Therefore; our ability to get by doing things
the way we've been doing them…which is to say; not always tending to our secret sauce
and enriching it…will not suffice anymore。 〃For a country as wealthy as we are; it
is amazing how little we are doing to enhance our natural competitiveness;〃 said
Dinakar Singh;
the Indian…American hedge fund manager。 〃We are in a world that has a system that
now allows convergence among many billions of people; and we had better step back
and figure out what it means。 It would be a nice coincidence if all the things that
were true before are still true now…but there are quite a few things you actually
need to do differently 。 。 。 You need to have a much more thoughtful national
discussion。〃 The flat world; Singh argued; is now the elephant in the room; and the
question is; What is it going to do to us; and what are we going to do to it?
If this moment has any parallel in American history; it is the height of the Cold
War; around 1957; when the Soviet Union leaped ahead of America in the space race
by putting up the Sputnik satellite。 Yes; there are many differences between that
age and our own。 The main challenge then came from those who wanted to put up walls;
the main challenge to America today comes from the fact that all the walls are being
taken down; and other countries can now compete with us much more directly。 The main
challenge in that world was from those practicing extreme communism; namely; Russia;
China; and North Korea。 The main challenge to America today is from those practicing
extreme capitalism; namely; China; India; and South Korea。 The main objective in that
era was building a strong state; the main objective in this era is building strong
individuals。
What this era has in common with the Cold War era; though; is that to meet the
challenges of flatism requires as comprehensive; energetic; and focused a response
as did meeting the challenge of communism。 It requires our own version of the New
Frontier and Great Society adapted to the age of flatness。 It requires a president
who can summon the nation to get smarter and study harder in science; math; and
engineering in order to reach the new frontiers of knowledge that the flat world is
rapidly opening up and pushing out。 And it requires a Great Society that commits our
government to building the infrastructure; safety nets; and institutions that will
help every American become more employable in an age when no one can be guaranteed
lifetime employment。 I call my own version of this approach compassionate flatism。
Getting Americans to rally around compassionate flatism is much more difficult than
getting them to rally around anticommunism。 〃National
l278
peril is a lot easier to convey than individual peril;〃 noted Johns Hopkins University
foreign policy expert Michael Mandelbaum。 Economics; as noted; is not like war;
because economics can always be a win…win game。 But sometimes I wish economics were
more like war。 Inthe Cold War; we actually got to see the Soviets parade their missiles
in Red Square。 We all got to be scared together; from one end of the country to the
other; and all our politicians had to be focused and serious about marshaling the
resources and educational programs to make sure Americans could keep pace with the
Soviet Union。
But today; alas; there is no missile threat coming from India。 The 〃hot line;〃 which
used to connect the Kremlin with the White House; has been replaced by the 〃help line;〃
which connects everyone in America to call centers in Bangalore。 While the other end
of the hotline might have had Leonid Brezhnev threatening nuclear war; the other end
of the help line just has a soft voice eager to help you sort out your AOL bill or
collaborate with you on a new piece of software。 No; that voice has none of the menace
of Nikita Khrushchev pounding a shoe on the table at the UN; and it has none of the
sinister snarl of the bad guys in From Russia with Love。 There is no Boris or Natasha
saying 〃We will bury you〃 in a thick Russian accent。 No; that voice on the help line
just has a friendly Indian lilt that masks any sense of threat or challenge。 It simply
says: 〃Hello; my name is Rajiv。 Can I help you?〃
No; Rajiv; actually; you can't。
When it comes to responding to the challenges of the flat world; there is no help
line we can call。 We have to dig into ourselves。 We in America have all the tools
to do that; as I argued in Chapter 6。 But; as I argued in Chapter 7; we have not been
tending to those tools as we should。 Hence; our quiet crisis。 The assumption that
because America's economy has dominated the world for more than a century; it will
and must always be that way is as dangerous an illusion today as the illusion that
America would always dominate in science and technology was back in 1950。 But this
is not going to be easy。 Getting our society up to speed for a flat world is going
to be extremely painstaking。 We are going to have to start doing a lot of things
differently。 It is going to take the sort of focus and national will that President
John F。 Kennedy called for in
his famous May 25; 1961; speech to Congress on 〃urgent national needs。〃 At that time;
America was recovering from the twin shocks of Sputnik and the Soviet space launch
of a cosmonaut; Yuri Gagarin; less than two months before Kennedy's speech。 Kennedy
knew that while America had enormous human and institutional assets…far more than
the Soviet Union…they were not being fully utilized。
〃I believe we possess all the resources andtalents necessary;〃 said President Kennedy。
〃But the facts of the matter are that we have never made the national decisions or
marshaled the national resources required for such leadership。 We have never
specified long…range goals on an urgent time schedule; or managed our resources and
our time so as to ensure their fulfillment。〃 After then laying out his whole program
for putting a man on the moon within ten years; President Kennedy added; 〃Let it be
clear that I am asking the Congress and the country to accept a firm commitment to
a new course of action; a course which will last for many years and carry very heavy
costs。 。 。 This decision demands a major national commitment of scientific and
technical manpower; materiel and facilities; and the possibility of their diversion
from other important activities where they are already thinly spread。 It means a
degree of dedication; organization and discipline which have not always characterized
our research and development efforts。〃
In that speech; Kennedy made a vow that has amazing resonance today: 〃I am therefore
transmitting to the Congress a new Manpower Development and Training program; totrain
or retrain several hundred thousand workers; particularly in those areas where we
have seen chronic unemployment as a result of technological factors; in new
occupational skills over a four…year period …in order to replace those skills made
obsolete by automation and industrial change with the new skills which the new
processes demand。〃
Amen。 We too have to do things differently。 We are going to have to sort out what
to keep; what to discard; what