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They¡¡believe¡¡that¡¡they¡¡gain¡¡another¡¡when¡¡they¡¡say¡¡or¡¡might¡¡say¡¡that¡¡it¡¡is¡¡still¡¡possible¡¡that¡¡the¡¡spirits¡¡stimulate¡¡us¡¡to¡¡realize¡¡the¡¡events¡¡which¡¡they¡¡foretell¡¡without¡¡themselves¡¡clearly¡¡perceiving¡¡them¡¡in¡¡the¡¡future¡£¡¡After¡¡announcing£»¡¡for¡¡instance£»¡¡that¡¡on¡¡a¡¡certain¡¡day¡¡we¡¡shall¡¡go¡¡to¡¡a¡¡certain¡¡place¡¡and¡¡do¡¡a¡¡certain¡¡thing£»¡¡they¡¡urge¡¡us¡¡irresistibly¡¡to¡¡proceed¡¡to¡¡the¡¡spot¡¡named¡¡and¡¡there¡¡to¡¡perform¡¡the¡¡act¡¡prophesied¡£¡¡But¡¡this¡¡theory£»¡¡like¡¡those¡¡of¡¡self¡­suggestion¡¡and¡¡telepathy£»¡¡would¡¡explain¡¡only¡¡a¡¡few¡¡phenomena¡¡and¡¡would¡¡leave¡¡in¡¡obscurity¡¡all¡¡those¡¡cases£»¡¡infinitely¡¡more¡¡numerous¡¡because¡¡they¡¡make¡¡up¡¡almost¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡of¡¡our¡¡future£»¡¡in¡¡which¡¡either¡¡chance¡¡intervenes¡¡or¡¡some¡¡event¡¡in¡¡no¡¡way¡¡dependent¡¡upon¡¡our¡¡will¡¡or¡¡the¡¡spirit's£»¡¡unless¡¡indeed¡¡we¡¡suppose¡¡that¡¡the¡¡latter¡¡possesses¡¡an¡¡omniscience¡¡and¡¡an¡¡omnipotence¡¡which¡¡take¡¡us¡¡back¡¡to¡¡the¡¡original¡¡mysteries¡¡of¡¡the¡¡problem¡£

Besides£»¡¡in¡¡the¡¡gloomy¡¡regions¡¡of¡¡precognition£»¡¡it¡¡is¡¡almost¡¡always¡¡a¡¡matter¡¡of¡¡anticipating¡¡a¡¡misfortune¡¡and¡¡very¡¡rarely£»¡¡if¡¡ever£»¡¡of¡¡meeting¡¡with¡¡a¡¡pleasure¡¡or¡¡a¡¡joy¡£¡¡We¡¡should¡¡therefore¡¡have¡¡to¡¡admit¡¡that¡¡the¡¡spirits¡¡which¡¡drag¡¡me¡¡to¡¡the¡¡fatal¡¡place¡¡and¡¡compel¡¡me¡¡to¡¡do¡¡the¡¡act¡¡that¡¡will¡¡have¡¡tragic¡¡consequences¡¡are¡¡deliberately¡¡hostile¡¡to¡¡me¡¡and¡¡find¡¡diversion¡¡only¡¡in¡¡the¡¡spectacle¡¡of¡¡my¡¡suffering¡£¡¡What¡¡could¡¡those¡¡spirits¡¡be£»¡¡from¡¡what¡¡evil¡¡world¡¡would¡¡they¡¡arise¡¡and¡¡how¡¡should¡¡we¡¡explain¡¡why¡¡our¡¡brothers¡¡and¡¡friends¡¡of¡¡yesterday£»¡¡after¡¡passing¡¡through¡¡the¡¡august¡¡and¡¡peace¡­bestowing¡¡gates¡¡of¡¡death£»¡¡suddenly¡¡become¡¡transformed¡¡into¡¡crafty¡¡and¡¡malevolent¡¡demons£¿¡¡Can¡¡the¡¡great¡¡spiritual¡¡kingdom£»¡¡in¡¡which¡¡all¡¡passions¡¡born¡¡of¡¡the¡¡flesh¡¡should¡¡be¡¡stilled£»¡¡be¡¡but¡¡a¡¡dismal¡¡abode¡¡of¡¡hatred£»¡¡spite¡¡and¡¡envy£¿¡¡It¡¡will¡¡perhaps¡¡be¡¡said¡¡that¡¡they¡¡lead¡¡us¡¡into¡¡misfortune¡¡in¡¡order¡¡to¡¡purify¡¡us£»¡¡but¡¡this¡¡brings¡¡us¡¡to¡¡religious¡¡theories¡¡which¡¡it¡¡is¡¡not¡¡our¡¡intention¡¡to¡¡examine¡£

12

The¡¡only¡¡attempt¡¡at¡¡an¡¡explanation¡¡that¡¡can¡¡hold¡¡its¡¡own¡¡with¡¡spiritualism¡¡has¡¡recourse¡¡once¡¡again¡¡to¡¡the¡¡mysterious¡¡powers¡¡of¡¡our¡¡subconsciousness¡£¡¡We¡¡must¡¡needs¡¡to¡¡recognize¡¡that£»¡¡if¡¡the¡¡future¡¡exists¡¡to¡­day£»¡¡already¡¡such¡¡as¡¡it¡¡will¡¡be¡¡when¡¡it¡¡becomes¡¡for¡¡us¡¡the¡¡present¡¡and¡¡the¡¡past£»¡¡the¡¡intervention¡¡of¡¡discarnate¡¡minds¡¡or¡¡of¡¡any¡¡other¡¡spiritual¡¡entity¡¡adrift¡¡from¡¡another¡¡sphere¡¡is¡¡of¡¡little¡¡avail¡£¡¡We¡¡can¡¡picture¡¡an¡¡infinite¡¡spirit¡¡indifferently¡¡contemplating¡¡the¡¡past¡¡and¡¡future¡¡in¡¡their¡¡coexistence£»¡¡we¡¡can¡¡imagine¡¡a¡¡whole¡¡hierarchy¡¡of¡¡intermediate¡¡intelligences¡¡taking¡¡a¡¡more¡¡or¡¡less¡¡extensive¡¡part¡¡in¡¡the¡¡contemplation¡¡and¡¡transmitting¡¡it¡¡to¡¡our¡¡subconsciousness¡£¡¡But¡¡all¡¡this¡¡is¡¡practically¡¡nothing¡¡more¡¡than¡¡inconsistent¡¡speculation¡¡and¡¡ingenious¡¡dreaming¡¡in¡¡the¡¡dark£»¡¡in¡¡any¡¡case£»¡¡it¡¡is¡¡adventitious£»¡¡secondary¡¡and¡¡provisional¡£¡¡Let¡¡us¡¡keep¡¡to¡¡the¡¡facts¡¡as¡¡we¡¡see¡¡them£º¡¡an¡¡unknown¡¡faculty£»¡¡buried¡¡deep¡¡in¡¡our¡¡being¡¡and¡¡generally¡¡inactive£»¡¡perceives£»¡¡on¡¡rare¡¡occasions£»¡¡events¡¡that¡¡have¡¡not¡¡yet¡¡taken¡¡place¡£¡¡We¡¡possess¡¡but¡¡one¡¡certainty¡¡on¡¡this¡¡subject£»¡¡namely£»¡¡that¡¡the¡¡phenomenon¡¡actually¡¡occurs¡¡within¡¡ourselves£»¡¡it¡¡is¡¡therefore¡¡within¡¡ourselves¡¡that¡¡we¡¡must¡¡first¡¡study¡¡it£»¡¡without¡¡burdening¡¡ourselves¡¡with¡¡suppositions¡¡which¡¡remove¡¡it¡¡from¡¡its¡¡centre¡¡and¡¡simply¡¡shift¡¡the¡¡mystery¡£¡¡The¡¡incomprehensible¡¡mystery¡¡is¡¡the¡¡preexistence¡¡of¡¡the¡¡future£»¡¡once¡¡we¡¡admit¡¡thisand¡¡it¡¡seems¡¡very¡¡difficult¡¡to¡¡denythere¡¡is¡¡no¡¡reason¡¡to¡¡attribute¡¡to¡¡imaginary¡¡intermediaries¡¡rather¡¡than¡¡to¡¡ourselves¡¡the¡¡faculty¡¡of¡¡descrying¡¡certain¡¡fragments¡¡of¡¡that¡¡future¡£¡¡We¡¡see£»¡¡in¡¡regard¡¡to¡¡most¡¡of¡¡the¡¡mediumistic¡¡manifestations£»¡¡that¡¡we¡¡possess¡¡within¡¡ourselves¡¡all¡¡the¡¡unusual¡¡forces¡¡with¡¡which¡¡the¡¡spiritualists¡¡endow¡¡discarnate¡¡spirits£»¡¡and¡¡why¡¡should¡¡it¡¡be¡¡otherwise¡¡as¡¡concerns¡¡the¡¡powers¡¡of¡¡divination£¿¡¡The¡¡explanation¡¡taken¡¡from¡¡the¡¡subconsciousness¡¡is¡¡the¡¡most¡¡direct£»¡¡the¡¡simplest£»¡¡the¡¡nearest£»¡¡whereas¡¡the¡¡other¡¡is¡¡endlessly¡¡circuitous£»¡¡complicated¡¡and¡¡distant¡£¡¡Until¡¡the¡¡spirits¡¡testify¡¡to¡¡their¡¡existence¡¡in¡¡an¡¡unanswerable¡¡fashion£»¡¡there¡¡is¡¡no¡¡advantage¡¡in¡¡seeking¡¡in¡¡the¡¡grave¡¡for¡¡the¡¡solution¡¡of¡¡a¡¡riddle¡¡that¡¡appears¡¡indeed¡¡to¡¡lie¡¡at¡¡the¡¡roots¡¡of¡¡our¡¡own¡¡life¡£

13

It¡¡is¡¡true¡¡that¡¡this¡¡explanation¡¡does¡¡not¡¡explain¡¡much£»¡¡but¡¡the¡¡others¡¡are¡¡just¡¡as¡¡ineffectual¡¡and¡¡are¡¡open¡¡to¡¡the¡¡same¡¡objections¡£¡¡These¡¡objections¡¡are¡¡many¡¡and¡¡various£»¡¡and¡¡it¡¡is¡¡easier¡¡to¡¡raise¡¡them¡¡than¡¡to¡¡reply¡¡to¡¡them¡£¡¡For¡¡instance£»¡¡we¡¡can¡¡ask¡¡ourselves¡¡why¡¡the¡¡subconsciousness¡¡or¡¡the¡¡spirits£»¡¡seeing¡¡that¡¡they¡¡read¡¡the¡¡future¡¡and¡¡are¡¡able¡¡to¡¡announce¡¡an¡¡impending¡¡calamity£»¡¡hardly¡¡ever¡¡give¡¡us¡¡the¡¡one¡¡useful¡¡and¡¡definite¡¡indication¡¡that¡¡would¡¡allow¡¡us¡¡to¡¡avoid¡¡it¡£¡¡What¡¡can¡¡be¡¡the¡¡childish¡¡or¡¡mysterious¡¡reason¡¡of¡¡this¡¡strange¡¡reticence£¿¡¡In¡¡many¡¡cases¡¡it¡¡is¡¡almost¡¡criminal£»¡¡for¡¡instance£»¡¡in¡¡a¡¡case¡¡related¡¡by¡¡Professor¡¡Hyslop£§1£§¡¡we¡¡see¡¡the¡¡foreboding¡¡of¡¡the¡¡greatest¡¡misfortune¡¡that¡¡can¡¡befall¡¡a¡¡mother¡¡germinating£»¡¡growing£»¡¡sending¡¡out¡¡shoots£»¡¡developing£»¡¡like¡¡some¡¡gluttonous¡¡and¡¡deadly¡¡plant£»¡¡to¡¡stop¡¡short¡¡on¡¡the¡¡verge¡¡of¡¡the¡¡last¡¡warning£»¡¡the¡¡one¡¡detail£»¡¡insignificant¡¡in¡¡itself¡¡but¡¡indispensable£»¡¡which¡¡would¡¡have¡¡saved¡¡the¡¡child¡£¡¡It¡¡is¡¡the¡¡case¡¡of¡¡a¡¡woman¡¡who¡¡begins¡¡by¡¡experiencing¡¡a¡¡vague¡¡but¡¡powerful¡¡impression¡¡that¡¡a¡¡grievous¡¡¡¨burden¡¨¡¡was¡¡going¡¡to¡¡fall¡¡upon¡¡her¡¡family¡£¡¡Next¡¡month£»¡¡this¡¡premonitory¡¡feeling¡¡repeats¡¡itself¡¡very¡¡frequently£»¡¡becomes¡¡more¡¡intense¡¡and¡¡ends¡¡by¡¡concentrating¡¡itself¡¡upon¡¡the¡¡poor¡¡woman's¡¡little¡¡daughter¡£¡¡Each¡¡time¡¡that¡¡she¡¡is¡¡planning¡¡something¡¡for¡¡the¡¡child's¡¡future£»¡¡she¡¡hears¡¡a¡¡voice¡¡saying£º

¡¨She'll¡¡never¡¡need¡¡it¡£¡¨

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A¡¡week¡¡before¡¡the¡¡catastrophe£»¡¡a¡¡violent¡¡smell¡¡of¡¡fire¡¡fills¡¡the¡¡house¡£¡¡From¡¡that¡¡time£»¡¡the¡¡mother¡¡begins¡¡to¡¡be¡¡careful¡¡about¡¡matches£»¡¡seeing¡¡that¡¡they¡¡are¡¡in¡¡safe¡¡places¡¡and¡¡out¡¡of¡¡reach¡£¡¡She¡¡looks¡¡all¡¡over¡¡the¡¡house¡¡for¡¡them¡¡and¡¡feels¡¡a¡¡strong¡¡impulse¡¡to¡¡burn¡¡all¡¡matches¡¡of¡¡the¡¡kind¡¡easily¡¡lighted¡£¡¡About¡¡an¡¡hour¡¡before¡¡the¡¡fatal¡¡disaster£»¡¡she¡¡reaches¡¡for¡¡a¡¡box¡¡to¡¡destroy¡¡it£»¡¡but¡¡she¡¡says¡¡to¡¡herself¡¡that¡¡her¡¡eldest¡¡boy¡¡is¡¡gone¡¡out£»¡¡thinks¡¡that¡¡she¡¡may¡¡need¡¡the¡¡matches¡¡to¡¡light¡¡the¡¡gas¡­stove¡¡and¡¡decides¡¡to¡¡destroy¡¡them¡¡as¡¡soon¡¡as¡¡he¡¡comes¡¡back¡£¡¡She¡¡takes¡¡the¡¡child¡¡up¡¡to¡¡its¡¡crib¡¡for¡¡its¡¡morning¡¡sleep¡¡and£»¡¡as¡¡she¡¡is¡¡putting¡¡it¡¡into¡¡the¡¡cradle£»¡¡she¡¡hears¡¡the¡¡usual¡¡mysterious¡¡voice¡¡whisper¡¡in¡¡her¡¡ear£º

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But£»¡¡being¡¡in¡¡a¡¡great¡¡hurry£»¡¡she¡¡simply¡¡says¡¡that¡¡she¡¡will¡¡turn¡¡the¡¡mattress¡¡after¡¡the¡¡child¡¡has¡¡taken¡¡its¡¡nap¡£¡¡She¡¡then¡¡goes¡¡downstairs¡¡to¡¡work¡£¡¡After¡¡a¡¡while£»¡¡she¡¡hears¡¡the¡¡child¡¡cry¡¡and£»¡¡hurrying¡¡up¡¡to¡¡the¡¡room£»¡¡finds¡¡the¡¡crib¡¡and¡¡its¡¡bedding¡¡on¡¡fire¡¡and¡¡the¡¡child¡¡so¡¡badly¡¡burnt¡¡that¡¡it¡¡dies¡¡in¡¡three¡¡hours¡£

14

Before¡¡going¡¡further¡¡and¡¡theorizing¡¡about¡¡this¡¡case£»¡¡let¡¡us¡¡once¡¡more¡¡state¡¡the¡¡matter¡¡precisely¡£¡¡I¡¡know¡¡that¡¡the¡¡reader¡¡may¡¡straightway¡¡and¡¡quite¡¡legitimately¡¡deny¡¡the¡¡value¡¡of¡¡anecdotes¡¡of¡¡this¡¡kind¡£¡¡He¡¡will¡¡say¡¡that¡¡we¡¡have¡¡to¡¡do¡¡with¡¡a¡¡neurotic¡¡who¡¡has¡¡drawn¡¡upon¡¡her¡¡imagination¡¡for¡¡all¡¡the¡¡elements¡¡that¡¡give¡¡a¡¡dramatic¡¡setting¡¡to¡¡the¡¡story¡¡and¡¡surround¡¡with¡¡a¡¡halo¡¡of¡¡mystery¡¡a¡¡sad¡¡but¡¡commonplace¡¡domestic¡¡accident¡£¡¡This¡¡is¡¡quite¡¡possible£»¡¡and¡¡it¡¡is¡¡perfectly¡¡allowable¡¡to¡¡dismiss¡¡the¡¡case¡£¡¡But¡¡it¡¡is¡¡none¡¡the¡¡less¡¡true¡¡that£»¡¡by¡¡thus¡¡deliberately¡¡rejecting¡¡everything¡¡that¡¡does¡¡not¡¡bear¡¡the¡¡stamp¡¡of¡¡mathematical¡¡or¡¡judicial¡¡certainty£»¡¡we¡¡risk¡¡losing¡¡as¡¡we¡¡go¡¡along¡¡most¡¡of¡¡the¡¡opportunities¡¡or¡¡clues¡¡which¡¡the¡¡great¡¡riddle¡¡of¡¡this¡¡world¡¡offers¡¡us¡¡in¡¡its¡¡moments¡¡of¡¡inattention¡¡or¡¡graciousness¡£¡¡At¡¡the¡¡beginning¡¡of¡¡an¡¡enquiry¡¡we¡¡must¡¡know¡¡how¡¡to¡¡content¡¡ourselves¡¡with¡¡little¡£¡¡For¡¡the¡¡incident¡¡in¡¡question¡¡to¡¡be¡¡convincing£»¡¡previous¡¡evidence¡¡in¡¡writing£»¡¡more¡¡or¡¡less¡¡official¡¡statements¡¡would¡¡be¡¡required£»¡¡whereas¡¡we¡¡have¡¡only¡¡the¡¡declarations¡¡of¡¡the¡¡husband£»¡¡a¡¡neighbour¡¡and¡¡a¡¡sister¡£¡¡This¡¡is¡¡insufficient£»¡¡I¡¡agree£»¡¡but¡¡we¡¡must¡¡at¡¡the¡¡same¡¡time¡¡confess¡¡that¡¡the¡¡circumstances¡¡are¡¡hardly¡¡favourable¡¡to¡¡obtaining¡¡the¡¡proofs¡¡which¡¡we¡¡demand¡£¡¡Those¡¡who¡¡receive¡¡warnings¡¡of¡¡this¡¡kind¡¡either¡¡believe¡¡in¡¡them¡¡or¡¡do¡¡not¡¡believe¡¡in¡¡them¡£¡¡If¡¡they¡¡believe¡¡in¡¡them£»¡¡it¡¡is¡¡quite¡¡natural¡¡that¡¡they¡¡should¡¡not¡¡think¡¡first¡¡of¡¡all¡¡of¡¡the¡¡scientific¡¡interest¡¡of¡¡their¡¡trouble£»¡¡or¡¡of¡¡putting¡¡down¡¡in¡¡writing¡¡and¡¡thus¡¡authenticating¡¡its¡¡premonitory¡¡symptoms¡¡and¡¡gradual¡¡evolution¡£¡¡If¡¡they¡¡do¡¡not¡¡believe¡¡in¡¡them£»¡¡it¡¡is¡¡no¡¡less¡¡natural¡¡that¡¡they¡¡should¡¡not¡¡proceed¡¡to¡¡speak¡¡or¡¡take¡¡notice¡¡of¡¡inani

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