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第26章

an enquiry concerning human understanding-第26章

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any such relations or comparisons of ideas; as are the
proper objects of our intellectual faculties。 Though the
instinct be different; yet still it is an instinct; which
teaches a man to avoid the fire; as much as that; which
teaches a bird; with such exactness; the art of incubation;
and the whole economy and order of its nursery。

                          * * * *
                              
                         SECTION X。
                        Of Miracles。
                              
                          PART I。

     T/HERE is; in Dr。 T/ILLOTSON'S writings; an argument
against the ; which is as concise; and
elegant; and strong as any argument can possibly be supposed
against a doctrine; so little worthy of a serious
refutation。 It is acknowledged on all hands; says that
learned prelate; that the authority; either of the scripture
or of tradition; is founded merely in the testimony of the
Apostles; who were eye…witnesses to those miracles of our
Saviour; by which he proved his divine mission。 Our
evidence; then; for; the truth of the  religion
is less than the evidence for the truth of our senses;
because; even in the first authors of our religion; it was
no greater; and it is evident it must diminish in passing
from them to their disciples; nor can any one rest such
confidence in their testimony; as in the immediate object of
his senses。 But a weaker evidence can never destroy a
stronger; and therefore; were the doctrine of the real
presence ever so clearly revealed in scripture; it were
directly contrary to the rules of just reasoning to give our
assent to it。 It contradicts sense; though both the
scripture and tradition; on which it is supposed to be
built; carry not such evidence with them as sense; when they
are considered merely as external evidences; and are not
brought home to every one's breast; by the immediate
operation of the Holy Spirit。

     Nothing is so convenient as a decisive argument of this
kind; which must at least  the most arrogant
bigotry and superstition; and free us from their impertinent
solicitations。 I flatter myself; that I have discovered an
argument of a like nature; which; if just; will; with the
wise and learned; be an everlasting check to all kinds of
superstitious delusion; and consequently; will be useful as
long as the world endures。 For so long; I presume; will the
accounts of miracles and prodigies be found in all history;
sacred and profane。

     Though experience be our only guide in reasoning
concerning matters of fact; it must be acknowledged; that
this guide is not altogether infallible; but in some cases
is apt to lead us into errors。 One; who in our climate;
should expect better weather in any week of J/UNE than in
one of D/ECEMBER; would reason justly; and conformably to
experience; but it is certain; that he may happen; in the
event; to find himself mistaken。 However; we may observe;
that; in such a case; he would have no cause to complain of
experience; because it commonly informs us beforehand of the
uncertainty; by that contrariety of events; which we may
learn from a diligent observation。 All effects follow not
with like certainty from their supposed causes。 Some events
are found; in all countries and all ages; to have been
constantly conjoined together: Others are found to have been
more variable; and sometimes to disappoint our expectations;
so that; in our reasonings concerning matter of fact; there
are all imaginable degrees of assurance; from the highest
certainty to the lowest species of moral evidence。

     A wise man; therefore; proportions his belief to the
evidence。 In such conclusions as are founded on an
infallible experience; he expects the event with the last
degree of assurance; and regards his past experience as a
full  of the future existence of that event。 In other
cases; he proceeds with more caution: He weighs the opposite
experiments: He considers which side is supported by the
greater number of experiments: To that side he inclines;
with doubt and hesitation; and when at last he fixes his
judgement; the evidence exceeds not what we properly call
。 All probability; then; supposes an opposition
of experiments and observations; where the one side is found
to overbalance the other; and to produce a degree of
evidence; proportioned to the superiority。 A hundred
instances or experiments on one side; and fifty on another;
afford a doubtful expectation of any event; though a hundred
uniform experiments; with only one that is contradictory;
reasonably beget a pretty strong degree of assurance。 In all
cases; we must balance the opposite experiments; where they
are opposite; and deduct the smaller number from the
greater; in order to know the exact force of the superior
evidence。

     To apply these principles to a particular instance; we
may observe; that there is no species of reasoning more
common; more useful; and even necessary to human life; than
that which is derived from the testimony of men; and the
reports of eye… witnesses and spectators。 This species of
reasoning; perhaps; one may deny to be founded on the
relation of cause and effect。 I shall not dispute about a
word。 It will be sufficient to observe that our assurance in
any argument of this kind is derived from no other principle
than our observation of the veracity of human testimony; and
of the usual conformity of facts to the reports of
witnesses。 It being a general maxim; that no objects have
any discoverable connexion together; and that all the
inferences; which we can draw from one to another; are
founded merely on our experience of their constant and
regular conjunction; it is evident; that we ought not to
make an exception to this maxim in favour of human
testimony; whose connexion with any event seems; in itself;
as little necessary as any other。 Were not the memory
tenacious to a certain degree; had not men commonly an
inclination to truth and a principle of probity; were they
not sensible to shame; when detected in a falsehood: Were
not these; I say; discovered by  to be
qualities; inherent in human nature; we should never repose
the least confidence in human testimony。 A man delirious; or
noted for falsehood and villainy; has no manner of authority
with us。

     And as the evidence; derived from witnesses and human
testimony; is founded on past experience; so it varies with
the experience; and is regarded either as a  or a
; according as the conjunction between any
particular kind of report and any kind of object has been
found to be constant or variable。 There are a number of
circumstances to be taken into consideration in all
judgements of this kind; and the ultimate standard; by which
we determine all disputes; that may arise concerning them;
is always derived from experience and observation。 Where
this experience is not entirely uniform on any side; it is
attended with an unavoidable contrariety in our judgements;
and with the same opposition and mutual destruction of
argument as in every other kind of evidence。 We frequently
hesitate concerning the reports of others。 We balance the
opposite circumstances; which cause any doubt or
uncertainty; and when we discover a superiority on any side;
we incline to it; but still with a diminution of assurance;
in proportion to the force of its antagonist。

     This contrariety of evidence; in the present case; may
be derived from several different causes; from the
opposition of contrary testimony; from the character or
number of the witnesses; from the manner of their delivering
their testimony; or from the union of all these
circumstances。 We entertain a suspicion concerning any
matter of fact; when the witnesses contradict each other;
when they are but few; or of a doubtful character; when they
have an interest in what they affirm; when they deliver
their testimony with hesitation; or on the contrary; with
too violent asseverations。 There are many other particulars
of the same kind; which may diminish or destroy the force of
any argument; derived from human testimony。

     Suppose;

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