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第17章

war of the classes-第17章

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Great Britain is being outdistanced。  The competition does not come

from the glut caused by miscalculation as to the home demand。  Our

own steel…makers know better and are alarmed。  The threatened

competition in markets hitherto our own comes from efficiency in

production such as never before has been seen。〃  Even the British

naval supremacy is in danger; continues the same paper; 〃for; if we

lose our engineering supremacy; our naval supremacy will follow;

unless held on sufferance by our successful rivals。〃



And the Edinburgh Evening News says; with editorial gloom:  〃The

iron and steel trades have gone from us。  When the fictitious

prosperity caused by the expenditure of our own Government and that

of European nations on armaments ceases; half of the men employed in

these industries will be turned into the streets。  The outlook is

appalling。  What suffering will have to be endured before the

workers realize that there is nothing left for them but emigration!〃





That there must be a limit to the accumulation of capital is

obvious。  The downward course of the rate of interest;

notwithstanding that many new employments have been made possible

for capital; indicates how large is the increase of surplus value。

This decline of the interest rate is in accord with Bohm…Bawerk's

law of 〃diminishing returns。〃  That is; when capital; like anything

else; has become over…plentiful; less lucrative use can only be

found for the excess。  This excess; not being able to earn so much

as when capital was less plentiful; competes for safe investments

and forces down the interest rate on all capital。  Mr。 Charles A。

Conant has well described the keenness of the scramble for safe

investments; even at the prevailing low rates of interest。  At the

close of the war with Turkey; the Greek loan; guaranteed by Great

Britain; France; and Russia; was floated with striking ease。

Regardless of the small return; the amount offered at Paris;

(41;000;000 francs); was subscribed for twenty…three times over。

Great Britain; France; Germany; Holland; and the Scandinavian

States; of recent years; have all engaged in converting their

securities from 5 per cents to 4 per cents; from 4。5 per cents to

3。5 per cents; and the 3。5 per cents into 3 per cents。



Great Britain; France; Germany; and Austria…Hungary; according to

the calculation taken in 1895 by the International Statistical

Institute; hold forty…six billions of capital invested in negotiable

securities alone。  Yet Paris subscribed for her portion of the Greek

loan twenty…three times over!  In short; money is cheap。  Andrew

Carnegie and his brother bourgeois kings give away millions

annually; but still the tide wells up。  These vast accumulations

have made possible 〃wild…catting;〃 fraudulent combinations; fake

enterprises; Hooleyism; but such stealings; great though they be;

have little or no effect in reducing the volume。  The time is past

when startling inventions; or revolutions in the method of

production; can break up the growing congestion; yet this saved

capital demands an outlet; somewhere; somehow。



When a great nation has equipped itself to produce far more than it

can; under the present division of the product; consume; it seeks

other markets for its surplus products。  When a second nation finds

itself similarly circumstanced; competition for these other markets

naturally follows。  With the advent of a third; a fourth; a fifth;

and of divers other nations; the question of the disposal of surplus

products grows serious。  And with each of these nations possessing;

over and beyond its active capital; great and growing masses of idle

capital; and when the very foreign markets for which they are

competing are beginning to produce similar wares for themselves; the

question passes the serious stage and becomes critical。



Never has the struggle for foreign markets been sharper than at the

present。  They are the one great outlet for congested accumulations。

Predatory capital wanders the world over; seeking where it may

establish itself。  This urgent need for foreign markets is forcing

upon the world…stage an era of great colonial empire。  But this does

not stand; as in the past; for the subjugation of peoples and

countries for the sake of gaining their products; but for the

privilege of selling them products。  The theory once was; that the

colony owed its existence and prosperity to the mother country; but

today it is the mother country that owes its existence and

prosperity to the colony。  And in the future; when that supporting

colony becomes wise in the way of producing surplus value and sends

its goods back to sell to the mother country; what then?  Then the

world will have been exploited; and capitalistic production will

have attained its maximum development。



Foreign markets and undeveloped countries largely retard that

moment。  The favored portions of the earth's surface are already

occupied; though the resources of many are yet virgin。  That they

have not long since been wrested from the hands of the barbarous and

decadent peoples who possess them is due; not to the military

prowess of such peoples; but to the jealous vigilance of the

industrial nations。  The powers hold one another back。  The Turk

lives because the way is not yet clear to an amicable division of

him among the powers。  And the United States; supreme though she is;

opposes the partition of China; and intervenes her huge bulk between

the hungry nations and the mongrel Spanish republics。  Capital

stands in its own way; welling up and welling up against the

inevitable moment when it shall burst all bonds and sweep

resistlessly across such vast stretches as China and South America。

And then there will be no more worlds to exploit; and capitalism

will either fall back; crushed under its own weight; or a change of

direction will take place which will mark a new era in history。



The Far East affords an illuminating spectacle。  While the Western

nations are crowding hungrily in; while the Partition of China is

commingled with the clamor for the Spheres of Influence and the Open

Door; other forces are none the less potently at work。  Not only are

the young Western peoples pressing the older ones to the wall; but

the East itself is beginning to awake。  American trade is advancing;

and British trade is losing ground; while Japan; China; and India

are taking a hand in the game themselves。



In 1893; 100;000 pieces of American drills were imported into China;

in 1897; 349;000。  In 1893; 252;000 pieces of American sheetings

were imported against 71;000 British; but in 1897; 566;000 pieces of

American sheetings were imported against only 10;000 British。  The

cotton goods and yarn trade (which forms 40 per cent of the whole

trade with China) shows a remarkable advance on the part of the

United States。  During the last ten years America has increased her

importation of plain goods by 121 per cent in quantity and 59。5 per

cent in value; while that of England and India combined has

decreased 13。75 per cent in quantity and 8 per cent in value。  Lord

Charles Beresford; from whose 〃Break…up of China〃 these figures are

taken; states that English yarn has receded and Indian yarn advanced

to the front。  In 1897; 140;000 piculs of Indian yarn were imported;

18;000 of Japanese; 4500 of Shanghai…manufactured; and 700 of

English。



Japan; who but yesterday emerged from the mediaeval rule of the

Shogunate and seized in one fell swoop the scientific knowledge and

culture of the Occident; is already today showing what wisdom she

has acquired in the production of surplus value; and is preparing

herself that she may tomorrow play the part to Asia that England did

to Europe one hundred years ago。  That the difference in the world's

affairs wrought by those one hundred years will prevent her

succeeding is manifest; but it is equally manifest that they cannot

prevent her playing a leading pa

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