war of the classes-第17章
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Great Britain is being outdistanced。 The competition does not come
from the glut caused by miscalculation as to the home demand。 Our
own steel…makers know better and are alarmed。 The threatened
competition in markets hitherto our own comes from efficiency in
production such as never before has been seen。〃 Even the British
naval supremacy is in danger; continues the same paper; 〃for; if we
lose our engineering supremacy; our naval supremacy will follow;
unless held on sufferance by our successful rivals。〃
And the Edinburgh Evening News says; with editorial gloom: 〃The
iron and steel trades have gone from us。 When the fictitious
prosperity caused by the expenditure of our own Government and that
of European nations on armaments ceases; half of the men employed in
these industries will be turned into the streets。 The outlook is
appalling。 What suffering will have to be endured before the
workers realize that there is nothing left for them but emigration!〃
That there must be a limit to the accumulation of capital is
obvious。 The downward course of the rate of interest;
notwithstanding that many new employments have been made possible
for capital; indicates how large is the increase of surplus value。
This decline of the interest rate is in accord with Bohm…Bawerk's
law of 〃diminishing returns。〃 That is; when capital; like anything
else; has become over…plentiful; less lucrative use can only be
found for the excess。 This excess; not being able to earn so much
as when capital was less plentiful; competes for safe investments
and forces down the interest rate on all capital。 Mr。 Charles A。
Conant has well described the keenness of the scramble for safe
investments; even at the prevailing low rates of interest。 At the
close of the war with Turkey; the Greek loan; guaranteed by Great
Britain; France; and Russia; was floated with striking ease。
Regardless of the small return; the amount offered at Paris;
(41;000;000 francs); was subscribed for twenty…three times over。
Great Britain; France; Germany; Holland; and the Scandinavian
States; of recent years; have all engaged in converting their
securities from 5 per cents to 4 per cents; from 4。5 per cents to
3。5 per cents; and the 3。5 per cents into 3 per cents。
Great Britain; France; Germany; and Austria…Hungary; according to
the calculation taken in 1895 by the International Statistical
Institute; hold forty…six billions of capital invested in negotiable
securities alone。 Yet Paris subscribed for her portion of the Greek
loan twenty…three times over! In short; money is cheap。 Andrew
Carnegie and his brother bourgeois kings give away millions
annually; but still the tide wells up。 These vast accumulations
have made possible 〃wild…catting;〃 fraudulent combinations; fake
enterprises; Hooleyism; but such stealings; great though they be;
have little or no effect in reducing the volume。 The time is past
when startling inventions; or revolutions in the method of
production; can break up the growing congestion; yet this saved
capital demands an outlet; somewhere; somehow。
When a great nation has equipped itself to produce far more than it
can; under the present division of the product; consume; it seeks
other markets for its surplus products。 When a second nation finds
itself similarly circumstanced; competition for these other markets
naturally follows。 With the advent of a third; a fourth; a fifth;
and of divers other nations; the question of the disposal of surplus
products grows serious。 And with each of these nations possessing;
over and beyond its active capital; great and growing masses of idle
capital; and when the very foreign markets for which they are
competing are beginning to produce similar wares for themselves; the
question passes the serious stage and becomes critical。
Never has the struggle for foreign markets been sharper than at the
present。 They are the one great outlet for congested accumulations。
Predatory capital wanders the world over; seeking where it may
establish itself。 This urgent need for foreign markets is forcing
upon the world…stage an era of great colonial empire。 But this does
not stand; as in the past; for the subjugation of peoples and
countries for the sake of gaining their products; but for the
privilege of selling them products。 The theory once was; that the
colony owed its existence and prosperity to the mother country; but
today it is the mother country that owes its existence and
prosperity to the colony。 And in the future; when that supporting
colony becomes wise in the way of producing surplus value and sends
its goods back to sell to the mother country; what then? Then the
world will have been exploited; and capitalistic production will
have attained its maximum development。
Foreign markets and undeveloped countries largely retard that
moment。 The favored portions of the earth's surface are already
occupied; though the resources of many are yet virgin。 That they
have not long since been wrested from the hands of the barbarous and
decadent peoples who possess them is due; not to the military
prowess of such peoples; but to the jealous vigilance of the
industrial nations。 The powers hold one another back。 The Turk
lives because the way is not yet clear to an amicable division of
him among the powers。 And the United States; supreme though she is;
opposes the partition of China; and intervenes her huge bulk between
the hungry nations and the mongrel Spanish republics。 Capital
stands in its own way; welling up and welling up against the
inevitable moment when it shall burst all bonds and sweep
resistlessly across such vast stretches as China and South America。
And then there will be no more worlds to exploit; and capitalism
will either fall back; crushed under its own weight; or a change of
direction will take place which will mark a new era in history。
The Far East affords an illuminating spectacle。 While the Western
nations are crowding hungrily in; while the Partition of China is
commingled with the clamor for the Spheres of Influence and the Open
Door; other forces are none the less potently at work。 Not only are
the young Western peoples pressing the older ones to the wall; but
the East itself is beginning to awake。 American trade is advancing;
and British trade is losing ground; while Japan; China; and India
are taking a hand in the game themselves。
In 1893; 100;000 pieces of American drills were imported into China;
in 1897; 349;000。 In 1893; 252;000 pieces of American sheetings
were imported against 71;000 British; but in 1897; 566;000 pieces of
American sheetings were imported against only 10;000 British。 The
cotton goods and yarn trade (which forms 40 per cent of the whole
trade with China) shows a remarkable advance on the part of the
United States。 During the last ten years America has increased her
importation of plain goods by 121 per cent in quantity and 59。5 per
cent in value; while that of England and India combined has
decreased 13。75 per cent in quantity and 8 per cent in value。 Lord
Charles Beresford; from whose 〃Break…up of China〃 these figures are
taken; states that English yarn has receded and Indian yarn advanced
to the front。 In 1897; 140;000 piculs of Indian yarn were imported;
18;000 of Japanese; 4500 of Shanghai…manufactured; and 700 of
English。
Japan; who but yesterday emerged from the mediaeval rule of the
Shogunate and seized in one fell swoop the scientific knowledge and
culture of the Occident; is already today showing what wisdom she
has acquired in the production of surplus value; and is preparing
herself that she may tomorrow play the part to Asia that England did
to Europe one hundred years ago。 That the difference in the world's
affairs wrought by those one hundred years will prevent her
succeeding is manifest; but it is equally manifest that they cannot
prevent her playing a leading pa