meteorology-µÚ9ÕÂ
°´¼üÅÌÉÏ·½Ïò¼ü ¡û »ò ¡ú ¿É¿ìËÙÉÏÏ·ҳ£¬°´¼üÅÌÉ쵀 Enter ¼ü¿É»Øµ½±¾ÊéĿ¼ҳ£¬°´¼üÅÌÉÏ·½Ïò¼ü ¡ü ¿É»Øµ½±¾Ò³¶¥²¿£¡
¡ª¡ª¡ª¡ªÎ´ÔĶÁÍꣿ¼ÓÈëÊéÇ©ÒѱãÏ´μÌÐøÔĶÁ£¡
are¡¡due¡¡to¡¡wars£»¡¡but¡¡pestilence¡¡or¡¡famine¡¡cause¡¡them¡¡too¡£¡¡Famines£»
again£»¡¡are¡¡either¡¡sudden¡¡and¡¡severe¡¡or¡¡else¡¡gradual¡£¡¡In¡¡the¡¡latter
case¡¡the¡¡disappearance¡¡of¡¡a¡¡nation¡¡is¡¡not¡¡noticed¡¡because¡¡some¡¡leave
the¡¡country¡¡while¡¡others¡¡remain£»¡¡and¡¡this¡¡goes¡¡on¡¡until¡¡the¡¡land¡¡is
unable¡¡to¡¡maintain¡¡any¡¡inhabitants¡¡at¡¡all¡£¡¡So¡¡a¡¡long¡¡period¡¡of¡¡time¡¡is
likely¡¡to¡¡elapse¡¡from¡¡the¡¡first¡¡departure¡¡to¡¡the¡¡last£»¡¡and¡¡no¡¡one
remembers¡¡and¡¡the¡¡lapse¡¡of¡¡time¡¡destroys¡¡all¡¡record¡¡even¡¡before¡¡the
last¡¡inhabitants¡¡have¡¡disappeared¡£¡¡In¡¡the¡¡same¡¡way¡¡a¡¡nation¡¡must¡¡be
supposed¡¡to¡¡lose¡¡account¡¡of¡¡the¡¡time¡¡when¡¡it¡¡first¡¡settled¡¡in¡¡a¡¡land
that¡¡was¡¡changing¡¡from¡¡a¡¡marshy¡¡and¡¡watery¡¡state¡¡and¡¡becoming¡¡dry¡£
Here£»¡¡too£»¡¡the¡¡change¡¡is¡¡gradual¡¡and¡¡lasts¡¡a¡¡long¡¡time¡¡and¡¡men¡¡do
not¡¡remember¡¡who¡¡came¡¡first£»¡¡or¡¡when£»¡¡or¡¡what¡¡the¡¡land¡¡was¡¡like¡¡when
they¡¡came¡£¡¡This¡¡has¡¡been¡¡the¡¡case¡¡with¡¡Egypt¡£¡¡Here¡¡it¡¡is¡¡obvious
that¡¡the¡¡land¡¡is¡¡continually¡¡getting¡¡drier¡¡and¡¡that¡¡the¡¡whole
country¡¡is¡¡a¡¡deposit¡¡of¡¡the¡¡river¡¡Nile¡£¡¡But¡¡because¡¡the¡¡neighbouring
peoples¡¡settled¡¡in¡¡the¡¡land¡¡gradually¡¡as¡¡the¡¡marshes¡¡dried£»¡¡the
lapse¡¡of¡¡time¡¡has¡¡hidden¡¡the¡¡beginning¡¡of¡¡the¡¡process¡£¡¡However£»¡¡all
the¡¡mouths¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Nile£»¡¡with¡¡the¡¡single¡¡exception¡¡of¡¡that¡¡at
Canopus£»¡¡are¡¡obviously¡¡artificial¡¡and¡¡not¡¡natural¡£¡¡And¡¡Egypt¡¡was
nothing¡¡more¡¡than¡¡what¡¡is¡¡called¡¡Thebes£»¡¡as¡¡Homer£»¡¡too£»¡¡shows£»
modern¡¡though¡¡he¡¡is¡¡in¡¡relation¡¡to¡¡such¡¡changes¡£¡¡For¡¡Thebes¡¡is¡¡the
place¡¡that¡¡he¡¡mentions£»¡¡which¡¡implies¡¡that¡¡Memphis¡¡did¡¡not¡¡yet
exist£»¡¡or¡¡at¡¡any¡¡rate¡¡was¡¡not¡¡as¡¡important¡¡as¡¡it¡¡is¡¡now¡£¡¡That¡¡this
should¡¡be¡¡so¡¡is¡¡natural£»¡¡since¡¡the¡¡lower¡¡land¡¡came¡¡to¡¡be¡¡inhabited
later¡¡than¡¡that¡¡which¡¡lay¡¡higher¡£¡¡For¡¡the¡¡parts¡¡that¡¡lie¡¡nearer¡¡to¡¡the
place¡¡where¡¡the¡¡river¡¡is¡¡depositing¡¡the¡¡silt¡¡are¡¡necessarily¡¡marshy
for¡¡a¡¡longer¡¡time¡¡since¡¡the¡¡water¡¡always¡¡lies¡¡most¡¡in¡¡the¡¡newly¡¡formed
land¡£¡¡But¡¡in¡¡time¡¡this¡¡land¡¡changes¡¡its¡¡character£»¡¡and¡¡in¡¡its¡¡turn
enjoys¡¡a¡¡period¡¡of¡¡prosperity¡£¡¡For¡¡these¡¡places¡¡dry¡¡up¡¡and¡¡come¡¡to
be¡¡in¡¡good¡¡condition¡¡while¡¡the¡¡places¡¡that¡¡were¡¡formerly¡¡well¡tempered
some¡¡day¡¡grow¡¡excessively¡¡dry¡¡and¡¡deteriorate¡£¡¡This¡¡happened¡¡to¡¡the
land¡¡of¡¡Argos¡¡and¡¡Mycenae¡¡in¡¡Greece¡£¡¡In¡¡the¡¡time¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Trojan¡¡wars
the¡¡Argive¡¡land¡¡was¡¡marshy¡¡and¡¡could¡¡only¡¡support¡¡a¡¡small
population£»¡¡whereas¡¡the¡¡land¡¡of¡¡Mycenae¡¡was¡¡in¡¡good¡¡condition¡¡£¨and¡¡for
this¡¡reason¡¡Mycenae¡¡was¡¡the¡¡superior£©¡£¡¡But¡¡now¡¡the¡¡opposite¡¡is¡¡the
case£»¡¡for¡¡the¡¡reason¡¡we¡¡have¡¡mentioned£º¡¡the¡¡land¡¡of¡¡Mycenae¡¡has¡¡become
completely¡¡dry¡¡and¡¡barren£»¡¡while¡¡the¡¡Argive¡¡land¡¡that¡¡was¡¡formerly
barren¡¡owing¡¡to¡¡the¡¡water¡¡has¡¡now¡¡become¡¡fruitful¡£¡¡Now¡¡the¡¡same
process¡¡that¡¡has¡¡taken¡¡place¡¡in¡¡this¡¡small¡¡district¡¡must¡¡be¡¡supposed
to¡¡be¡¡going¡¡on¡¡over¡¡whole¡¡countries¡¡and¡¡on¡¡a¡¡large¡¡scale¡£
¡¡¡¡Men¡¡whose¡¡outlook¡¡is¡¡narrow¡¡suppose¡¡the¡¡cause¡¡of¡¡such¡¡events¡¡to¡¡be
change¡¡in¡¡the¡¡universe£»¡¡in¡¡the¡¡sense¡¡of¡¡a¡¡coming¡¡to¡¡be¡¡of¡¡the¡¡world¡¡as
a¡¡whole¡£¡¡Hence¡¡they¡¡say¡¡that¡¡the¡¡sea¡¡being¡¡dried¡¡up¡¡and¡¡is¡¡growing
less£»¡¡because¡¡this¡¡is¡¡observed¡¡to¡¡have¡¡happened¡¡in¡¡more¡¡places¡¡now
than¡¡formerly¡£¡¡But¡¡this¡¡is¡¡only¡¡partially¡¡true¡£¡¡It¡¡is¡¡true¡¡that¡¡many
places¡¡are¡¡now¡¡dry£»¡¡that¡¡formerly¡¡were¡¡covered¡¡with¡¡water¡£¡¡But¡¡the
opposite¡¡is¡¡true¡¡too£º¡¡for¡¡if¡¡they¡¡look¡¡they¡¡will¡¡find¡¡that¡¡there¡¡are
many¡¡places¡¡where¡¡the¡¡sea¡¡has¡¡invaded¡¡the¡¡land¡£¡¡But¡¡we¡¡must¡¡not
suppose¡¡that¡¡the¡¡cause¡¡of¡¡this¡¡is¡¡that¡¡the¡¡world¡¡is¡¡in¡¡process¡¡of
becoming¡£¡¡For¡¡it¡¡is¡¡absurd¡¡to¡¡make¡¡the¡¡universe¡¡to¡¡be¡¡in¡¡process
because¡¡of¡¡small¡¡and¡¡trifling¡¡changes£»¡¡when¡¡the¡¡bulk¡¡and¡¡size¡¡of¡¡the
earth¡¡are¡¡surely¡¡as¡¡nothing¡¡in¡¡comparison¡¡with¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡world¡£¡¡Rather
we¡¡must¡¡take¡¡the¡¡cause¡¡of¡¡all¡¡these¡¡changes¡¡to¡¡be¡¡that£»¡¡just¡¡as¡¡winter
occurs¡¡in¡¡the¡¡seasons¡¡of¡¡the¡¡year£»¡¡so¡¡in¡¡determined¡¡periods¡¡there
comes¡¡a¡¡great¡¡winter¡¡of¡¡a¡¡great¡¡year¡¡and¡¡with¡¡it¡¡excess¡¡of¡¡rain¡£¡¡But
this¡¡excess¡¡does¡¡not¡¡always¡¡occur¡¡in¡¡the¡¡same¡¡place¡£¡¡The¡¡deluge¡¡in¡¡the
time¡¡of¡¡Deucalion£»¡¡for¡¡instance£»¡¡took¡¡place¡¡chiefly¡¡in¡¡the¡¡Greek¡¡world
and¡¡in¡¡it¡¡especially¡¡about¡¡ancient¡¡Hellas£»¡¡the¡¡country¡¡about¡¡Dodona
and¡¡the¡¡Achelous£»¡¡a¡¡river¡¡which¡¡has¡¡often¡¡changed¡¡its¡¡course¡£¡¡Here¡¡the
Selli¡¡dwelt¡¡and¡¡those¡¡who¡¡were¡¡formerly¡¡called¡¡Graeci¡¡and¡¡now
Hellenes¡£¡¡When£»¡¡therefore£»¡¡such¡¡an¡¡excess¡¡of¡¡rain¡¡occurs¡¡we¡¡must
suppose¡¡that¡¡it¡¡suffices¡¡for¡¡a¡¡long¡¡time¡£¡¡We¡¡have¡¡seen¡¡that¡¡some¡¡say
that¡¡the¡¡size¡¡of¡¡the¡¡subterranean¡¡cavities¡¡is¡¡what¡¡makes¡¡some¡¡rivers
perennial¡¡and¡¡others¡¡not£»¡¡whereas¡¡we¡¡maintain¡¡that¡¡the¡¡size¡¡of¡¡the
mountains¡¡is¡¡the¡¡cause£»¡¡and¡¡their¡¡density¡¡and¡¡coldness£»¡¡for¡¡great£»
dense£»¡¡and¡¡cold¡¡mountains¡¡catch¡¡and¡¡keep¡¡and¡¡create¡¡most¡¡water£º
whereas¡¡if¡¡the¡¡mountains¡¡that¡¡overhang¡¡the¡¡sources¡¡of¡¡rivers¡¡are¡¡small
or¡¡porous¡¡and¡¡stony¡¡and¡¡clayey£»¡¡these¡¡rivers¡¡run¡¡dry¡¡earlier¡£¡¡We
must¡¡recognize¡¡the¡¡same¡¡kind¡¡of¡¡thing¡¡in¡¡this¡¡case¡¡too¡£¡¡Where¡¡such
abundance¡¡of¡¡rain¡¡falls¡¡in¡¡the¡¡great¡¡winter¡¡it¡¡tends¡¡to¡¡make¡¡the
moisture¡¡of¡¡those¡¡places¡¡almost¡¡everlasting¡£¡¡But¡¡as¡¡time¡¡goes¡¡on
places¡¡of¡¡the¡¡latter¡¡type¡¡dry¡¡up¡¡more£»¡¡while¡¡those¡¡of¡¡the¡¡former£»
moist¡¡type£»¡¡do¡¡so¡¡less£º¡¡until¡¡at¡¡last¡¡the¡¡beginning¡¡of¡¡the¡¡same
cycle¡¡returns¡£
¡¡¡¡Since¡¡there¡¡is¡¡necessarily¡¡some¡¡change¡¡in¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡world£»¡¡but¡¡not
in¡¡the¡¡way¡¡of¡¡coming¡¡into¡¡existence¡¡or¡¡perishing¡¡£¨for¡¡the¡¡universe
is¡¡permanent£©£»¡¡it¡¡must¡¡be£»¡¡as¡¡we¡¡say£»¡¡that¡¡the¡¡same¡¡places¡¡are¡¡not¡¡for
ever¡¡moist¡¡through¡¡the¡¡presence¡¡of¡¡sea¡¡and¡¡rivers£»¡¡nor¡¡for¡¡ever¡¡dry¡£
And¡¡the¡¡facts¡¡prove¡¡this¡£¡¡The¡¡whole¡¡land¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Egyptians£»¡¡whom¡¡we
take¡¡to¡¡be¡¡the¡¡most¡¡ancient¡¡of¡¡men£»¡¡has¡¡evidently¡¡gradually¡¡come
into¡¡existence¡¡and¡¡been¡¡produced¡¡by¡¡the¡¡river¡£¡¡This¡¡is¡¡clear¡¡from¡¡an
observation¡¡of¡¡the¡¡country£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡facts¡¡about¡¡the¡¡Red¡¡Sea¡¡suffice¡¡to
prove¡¡it¡¡too¡£¡¡One¡¡of¡¡their¡¡kings¡¡tried¡¡to¡¡make¡¡a¡¡canal¡¡to¡¡it¡¡£¨for¡¡it
would¡¡have¡¡been¡¡of¡¡no¡¡little¡¡advantage¡¡to¡¡them¡¡for¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡region¡¡to
have¡¡become¡¡navigable£»¡¡Sesostris¡¡is¡¡said¡¡to¡¡have¡¡been¡¡the¡¡first¡¡of¡¡the
ancient¡¡kings¡¡to¡¡try£©£»¡¡but¡¡he¡¡found¡¡that¡¡the¡¡sea¡¡was¡¡higher¡¡than¡¡the
land¡£¡¡So¡¡he¡¡first£»¡¡and¡¡Darius¡¡afterwards£»¡¡stopped¡¡making¡¡the¡¡canal£»
lest¡¡the¡¡sea¡¡should¡¡mix¡¡with¡¡the¡¡river¡¡water¡¡and¡¡spoil¡¡it¡£¡¡So¡¡it¡¡is
clear¡¡that¡¡all¡¡this¡¡part¡¡was¡¡once¡¡unbroken¡¡sea¡£¡¡For¡¡the¡¡same¡¡reason
Libya¡the¡¡country¡¡of¡¡Ammon¡is£»¡¡strangely¡¡enough£»¡¡lower¡¡and¡¡hollower
than¡¡the¡¡land¡¡to¡¡the¡¡seaward¡¡of¡¡it¡£¡¡For¡¡it¡¡is¡¡clear¡¡that¡¡a¡¡barrier
of¡¡silt¡¡was¡¡formed¡¡and¡¡after¡¡it¡¡lakes¡¡and¡¡dry¡¡land£»¡¡but¡¡in¡¡course¡¡of
time¡¡the¡¡water¡¡that¡¡was¡¡left¡¡behind¡¡in¡¡the¡¡lakes¡¡dried¡¡up¡¡and¡¡is¡¡now
all¡¡gone¡£¡¡Again¡¡the¡¡silting¡¡up¡¡of¡¡the¡¡lake¡¡Maeotis¡¡by¡¡the¡¡rivers¡¡has
advanced¡¡so¡¡much¡¡that¡¡the¡¡limit¡¡to¡¡the¡¡size¡¡of¡¡the¡¡ships¡¡which¡¡can¡¡now
sail¡¡into¡¡it¡¡to¡¡trade¡¡is¡¡much¡¡lower¡¡than¡¡it¡¡was¡¡sixty¡¡years¡¡ago¡£¡¡Hence
it¡¡is¡¡easy¡¡to¡¡infer¡¡that¡¡it£»¡¡too£»¡¡like¡¡most¡¡lakes£»¡¡was¡¡originally
produced¡¡by¡¡the¡¡rivers¡¡and¡¡that¡¡it¡¡must¡¡end¡¡by¡¡drying¡¡up¡¡entirely¡£
¡¡¡¡Again£»¡¡this¡¡process¡¡of¡¡silting¡¡up¡¡causes¡¡a¡¡continuous¡¡current
through¡¡the¡¡Bosporus£»¡¡and¡¡in¡¡this¡¡case¡¡we¡¡can¡¡directly¡¡observe¡¡the
nature¡¡of¡¡the¡¡process¡£¡¡Whenever¡¡the¡¡current¡¡from¡¡the¡¡Asiatic¡¡shore
threw¡¡up¡¡a¡¡sandbank£»¡¡there¡¡first¡¡formed¡¡a¡¡small¡¡lake¡¡behind¡¡it¡£
Later¡¡it¡¡dried¡¡up¡¡and¡¡a¡¡second¡¡sandbank¡¡formed¡¡in¡¡front¡¡of¡¡the¡¡first
and¡¡a¡¡second¡¡lake¡£¡¡This¡¡process¡¡went¡¡on¡¡uniformly¡¡and¡¡without
interruption¡£¡¡Now¡¡when¡¡this¡¡has¡¡been¡¡repeated¡¡often¡¡enough£»¡¡in¡¡the
course¡¡of¡¡time¡¡the¡¡strait¡¡must¡¡become¡¡like¡¡a¡¡river£»¡¡and¡¡in¡¡the¡¡end¡¡the
river¡¡itself¡¡must¡¡dry¡¡up¡£
¡¡¡¡So¡¡it¡¡is¡¡clear£»¡¡since¡¡there¡¡will¡¡be¡¡no¡¡end¡¡to¡¡time¡¡and¡¡the¡¡world
is¡¡eternal£»¡¡that¡¡neither¡¡the¡¡Tanais¡¡nor¡¡the¡¡Nile¡¡has¡¡always¡¡been
flowing£»¡¡but¡¡that¡¡the¡¡region¡¡whence¡¡they¡¡flow¡¡was¡¡once¡¡dry£º¡¡for
their¡¡effect¡¡may¡¡be¡¡fulfilled£»¡¡but¡¡time¡¡cannot¡£¡¡And¡¡this¡¡will¡¡be
equally¡¡true¡¡of¡¡all¡¡other¡¡rivers¡£¡¡But¡¡if¡¡rivers¡¡come¡¡into¡¡existence
and¡¡perish¡¡and¡¡the¡¡same¡¡parts¡¡of¡¡the¡¡earth¡¡were¡¡not¡¡always¡¡moist£»
the¡¡sea¡¡must¡¡needs¡¡change¡¡correspondingly¡£¡¡And¡¡if¡¡the¡¡sea¡¡is¡¡always
advancing¡¡in¡¡one¡¡place¡¡and¡¡receding¡¡in¡¡another¡¡it¡¡is¡¡clear¡¡that¡¡the
same¡¡parts¡¡of¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡earth¡¡are¡¡not¡¡always¡¡either¡¡sea¡¡or¡¡land