medical essays-第27章
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g data： A。 to average attendance upon two hundred and fifty births in a year； three deaths in one thousand births to be assumed as the average from puerperal fever； no epidemic to be at the time prevailing。 It follows； from the answer given me； that if we suppose every one of the five hundred thousand annual births of England to have been recorded during the last half…century； there would not be one chance in a million million million millions that one such series should be noted。 No possible fractional error in this calculation can render the chance a working probability。 Applied to dozens of series of various lengths； it is obviously an absurdity。 Chance； therefore； is out of the question as an explanation of the admitted coincidences。
XI。 There is； therefore； some relation of cause and effect between the physician's presence and the patient's disease。
XII。 Until it is proved to what removable condition attaching to the attendant the disease is owing； he is bound to stay away from his patients so soon as he finds himself singled out to be tracked by the disease。 How long； and with what other precautions； I have suggested； without dictating； at the close of my Essay。 If the physician does not at once act on any reasonable suspicion of his being the medium of transfer； the families where he is engaged； if they are allowed to know the facts； should decline his services for the time。 His feelings on the occasion； however interesting to himself； should not be even named in this connection。 A physician who talks about ceremony and gratitude； and services rendered； and the treatment he got； surely forgets himself； it is impossible that he should seriously think of these small matters where there is even a question whether he may not carry disease； and death； and bereavement into any one of 〃his families；〃 as they are sometimes called。
I will now point out to the young student the mode in which he may relieve his mind of any confusion； or possibly； if very young； any doubt； which the perusal of Dr。 Meigs's Sixth Letter may have raised in his mind。
The most prominent ideas of the Letter are； first； that the transmissible nature of puerperal fever appears improbable； and； secondly； that it would be very inconvenient to the writer。 Dr。 Woodville； Physician to the Small…Pox and Inoculation Hospital in London； found it improbable； and exceedingly inconvenient to himself； that cow pox should prevent small…pox； but Dr。 Jenner took the liberty to prove the fact； notwithstanding。
I will first call the young student's attention to the show of negative facts （exposure without subsequent disease）； of which much seems to be thought。 And I may at the same time refer him to Dr。 Hodge's Lecture； where he will find the same kind of facts and reasoning。 Let him now take up Watson's Lectures； the good sense and spirit of which have made his book a universal favorite； and open to the chapter on Continued Fever。 He will find a paragraph containing the following sentence： 〃A man might say； 'I was in the battle of Waterloo； and saw many men around me fall down and die； and it was said that they were struck down by musket…balls； but I know better than that； for I was there all the time； and so were many of my friends； and we were never hit by any musket…balls。 Musket…balls； therefore； could not have been the cause of the deaths we witnessed。' And if； like contagion； they were not palpable to the senses； such a person might go on to affirm that no proof existed of there being any such thing as musket…balls。〃 Now let the student turn back to the chapter on Hydrophobia in the same volume。 He will find that John Hunter knew a case in which； of twenty…one persons bitten； only one died of the disease。 He will find that one dog at Charenton was bitten at different times by thirty different mad dogs； and outlived it all。 Is there no such thing； then； as hydrophobia？ Would one take no especial precautions if his wife； about to become a mother； had been bitten by a rabid animal； because so many escape？ Or let him look at 〃Underwood on Diseases of Children；〃＇Philadelphia； 1842； p。 244； note。＇ and he will find the case of a young woman who was inoculated eight times in thirty days； at the same time attending several children with smallpox； and yet was not infected。 But seven weeks afterwards she took the disease and died。
It would seem as if the force of this argument could hardly fail to be seen； if it were granted that every one of these series of cases were so reported as to prove that there could have been no transfer of disease。 There is not one of them so reported； in the Lecture or the Letter； as to prove that the disease may not have been carried by the practitioner。 I strongly suspect that it was so carried in some of these cases； but from the character of the very imperfect evidence the question can never be settled without further disclosures。
Although the Letter is； as I have implied； principally taken up with secondary and collateral questions； and might therefore be set aside as in the main irrelevant； I am willing； for the student's sake； to touch some of these questions briefly； as an illustration of its logical character。
The first thing to be done； as I thought when I wrote my Essay； was to throw out all discussions of the word contagion； and this I did effectually by the careful wording of my statement of the subject to be discussed。 My object was not to settle the etymology or definition of a word； but to show that women had often died in childbed； poisoned in some way by their medical attendants。 On the other point； I； at least； have no controversy with anybody； and I think the student will do well to avoid it in this connection。 If I must define my position； however； as well as the term in question； I am contented with Worcester's definition； provided always this avowal do not open another side controversy on the merits of his Dictionary； which Dr。 Meigs has not cited； as compared with Webster's； which he has。
I cannot see the propriety of insisting that all the laws of the eruptive fevers must necessarily hold true of this peculiar disease of puerperal women。 If there were any such propriety； the laws of the eruptive fevers must at least be stated correctly。 It is not true； for instance； as Dr。 Meigs states； that contagion is 〃no respecter of persons；〃 that 〃it attacks all individuals alike。〃 To give one example： Dr。 Gregory； of the Small…Pox Hospital； who ought to know； says that persons pass through life apparently insensible to or unsusceptible of the small…pox virus； and that the same persons do not take the vaccine disease。
As to the short time of incubation； of which so much is made； we have no right to decide beforehand whether it shall be long or short； in the cases we are considering。 A dissection wound may produce symptoms of poisoning in six hours； the bite of a rabid animal may take as many months。
After the student has read the case in Dr。 Meigs's 136th paragraph； and the following one； in which he exclaims against the idea of contagion； because the patient； delivered on the 26th of December； was attacked in twenty…four hours； and died on the third day； let him read what happened at the 〃Black Assizes〃 of 1577 and 1750。 In the first case； six hundred persons sickened the same night of the exposure； and three hundred more in three days。 ＇Elliotson's Practice； p。 298。＇ Of those attacked in the latter year； the exposure being on the 11th of May； Alderman Lambert died on the 13th； Under…Sheriff Cox on the 14th； and many of note before the 20th。 But these are old stories。 Let the student listen then to Dr。 Gerhard； whose reputation as a cautious observer he may be supposed to know。 〃The nurse was shaving a man； who died in a few hours after his entrance； he inhaled his breath； which had a nauseous taste； and in an hour afterwards was taken with nausea； cephalalgia； and singing of the ears。 From that moment the attack began； and assumed a severe character。 The assistant was supporting another patient； who died soon afterwards； he felt the pungent heat upon his skin； and was taken immediately with the symptoms of typhus。〃＇Am。 Jour。 Med。 Sciences； Feb。 1837； p。 299。＇ It
